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Blue Wave Fizzles: Martha McSally Now Leads Krysten Sinema By 6 Points In Arizona

Posted on 10 October 2018

After the news of Marsha Blackburn opened up an 8 point lead on Phil Breseden in Tennessee, Trumpthusiasm has now spread to Arizona.

A new poll shows Republican Martha McSally is now on top of Kyrsten Sinema by 6 points in the race to replace Jeff Flake.

Phoenix based ABC15 reports:

A new poll of Arizona’s contested Senate race shows front-runner Republican Martha McSally increasing her lead over Democrat Kyrsten Sinema.

In the latest ABC15/OH Predictive Insights poll, McSally has a six-point edge on Sinema, 47 percent to 41 percent. Eight percent said they had yet to decide on a candidate.

“What we saw all year was Republicans were less united compared to Democrats, who were more united or fully united,” Noble said. “So whether they disliked Trump or had issues with the establishment, now what we’ve seen is [the] Kavanaugh confirmation process has really brought all those Republicans home and has solidified the Republican base, hence why you’re seeing all the favorable numbers toward McSally.”

However, Noble isn’t sure whether the energy provided to Republicans by the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court will last until November 6.

“Since Kavanaugh now has been confirmed, will that hold from now until Election Day? Or, since getting confirmed, do [Republicans] correct back to their previous position? [That] obviously would be not good for the GOP and great for Democrats,” Noble said.

The poll, conducted October 1 and 2 through a mix of cell phones and landlines with likely Arizona general election voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent. The sample of 600 respondents has demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region and age.

Real Clear Politics has shown Sinema in the lead for the better part of the last year. We’ll see if the democrats continue their push towards defeat in four weeks.

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